Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 20:00
11.5760.6%
X3.9923.9%
26.1315.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWWWWWWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Amiens
DDDLLLLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.40
Against
5.20
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Amiens conceded2.00
Matchup

Amiens attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.20
9.10
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.00
Match total
27.70

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.10
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.6%61.5%+0.9 pp
Draw23.9%23.1%-0.8 pp
Away15.5%15.4%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.580.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-023.1%
2-115.4%
1-111.5%
3-17.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.423.62
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away27.3%