Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 14:00
12.9732.0%
X3.0331.3%
22.5936.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
WWLLWWLLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lille
DDLLLWLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
1.90
Total goals
2.50
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Lille conceded1.50
Matchup

Lille attack

1.00goals per match
Nantes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.80
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%47.2%+15.2 pp
Draw31.3%27.8%-3.6 pp
Away36.7%25.0%-11.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.513.9%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.280.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.9%
2-113.9%
1-011.1%
1-111.1%
0-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.42
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.9%