Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 19:00
12.2941.4%
X3.1030.6%
23.3928.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
WWDWWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Strasbourg
LLLWLWLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.00
8.30
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
2.00goals per matchStrasbourg conceded1.20Matchup
Strasbourg attack
1.00goals per matchMontpellier conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.00
8.30
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
30.50
Match total
23.50
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%42.7%+1.3 pp
Draw30.6%37.9%+7.3 pp
Away28.0%19.4%-8.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.515.5%
BTTS47.6%
Historical average
1.22–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.4%
1-017.5%
0-011.7%
2-09.7%
2-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.85–4.18
Average total9.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.537.9%
Over 10.530.1%
Over 11.522.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.2%30.4%–58.9% CI
Draw FT44.2%30.4%–58.9% CI
Away FT11.6%5.1%–24.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals20.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.5%
Away37.2%