Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 16:30
11.1384.1%
X9.1210.4%
217.525.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
LWWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Dijon
WDLLLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.40
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.60
Against
7.10
11.60
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
4.30
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
3.20goals per matchDijon conceded1.30Matchup
Dijon attack
0.60goals per matchParis SG conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.10
11.60
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
23.50
Match total
26.70
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.70
On target
2.70
21%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.1%78.6%-5.6 pp
Draw10.4%7.1%-3.3 pp
Away5.4%14.3%+8.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.585.7%
Over 3.564.3%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
3.43–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.3%
4-114.3%
4-014.3%
2-07.1%
6-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
9.50–2.14
Average total11.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.592.9%
Over 9.578.6%
Over 10.564.3%
Over 11.557.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away27.3%