Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 19:45
13.3128.7%
X3.2629.2%
22.2642.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nimes
LDDLLWLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Marseille
DLLWWDWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
3.80
9.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nimes attack
1.00goals per matchMarseille conceded0.90Matchup
Marseille attack
1.10goals per matchNimes conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.80
9.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
32.30
Match total
25.20
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%18.2%-10.6 pp
Draw29.2%42.4%+13.2 pp
Away42.1%39.4%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS42.4%
Historical average
0.94–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-121.2%
0-018.2%
1-112.1%
2-29.1%
1-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.42–5.36
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Remaining goals
0.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal45.5%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home18.2%
Away36.4%