Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 19:45
13.3128.7%
X3.2629.2%
22.2642.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nimes
LDDLLWLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Marseille
DLLWWDWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.90
Against
3.80
9.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nimes attack

1.00goals per match
Marseille conceded0.90
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.10goals per match
Nimes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.80
9.30
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
32.30
Match total
25.20

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%18.2%-10.6 pp
Draw29.2%42.4%+13.2 pp
Away42.1%39.4%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

0.941.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-121.2%
0-018.2%
1-112.1%
2-29.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.425.36
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal45.5%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home18.2%
Away36.4%