Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 20:00
11.1383.7%
X8.4311.2%
218.525.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paris SG
WLWWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Bordeaux
WWLDDLLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.10
Against
5.10
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paris SG attack
2.90goals per matchBordeaux conceded1.30Matchup
Bordeaux attack
1.30goals per matchParis SG conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.10
10.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.10
Match total
25.50
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
6.50
On target
3.20
20%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.7%93.8%+10.1 pp
Draw11.2%0.0%-11.2 pp
Away5.1%6.3%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.556.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.94–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-118.8%
2-018.8%
3-112.5%
1-012.5%
2-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.06–2.44
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away30.8%