Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 16:00
11.6956.2%
X3.5426.8%
25.5917.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rennes
DLWWWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Nimes
DLDDLLLLLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
4.10
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rennes attack
1.50goals per matchNimes conceded2.00Matchup
Nimes attack
0.80goals per matchRennes conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.10
8.60
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.40
Match total
25.80
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.90
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%50.0%-6.2 pp
Draw26.8%36.1%+9.3 pp
Away17.0%13.9%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.39–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.2%
1-019.4%
2-18.3%
0-08.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.81–3.83
Average total9.64
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.5%
Away41.2%