Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 19:00
11.3769.1%
X4.7120.1%
28.7310.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WDWDWWWLWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Toulouse
LDLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.30goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.20
Matchup

Toulouse attack

0.70goals per match
Lille conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.00
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%66.7%-2.4 pp
Draw20.1%27.8%+7.7 pp
Away10.8%5.6%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.720.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-033.3%
2-216.7%
2-111.1%
1-111.1%
3-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.563.22
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%