Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 19:00
11.3769.1%
X4.7120.1%
28.7310.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WDWDWWWLWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Toulouse
LDLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.30
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.30goals per matchToulouse conceded2.20Matchup
Toulouse attack
0.70goals per matchLille conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.00
Match total
25.60
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%66.7%-2.4 pp
Draw20.1%27.8%+7.7 pp
Away10.8%5.6%-5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.72–0.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-033.3%
2-216.7%
2-111.1%
1-111.1%
3-05.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.56–3.22
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.522.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away30.0%