Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 19:00
13.7625.2%
X3.5426.8%
21.9847.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dijon
DDWWWDDWWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Monaco
DLWLLWDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.60goals per match
Monaco conceded1.40
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.10goals per match
Dijon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.70
Match total
26.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.2%24.3%-0.9 pp
Draw26.8%29.7%+2.9 pp
Away47.9%45.9%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.051.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-210.8%
1-38.1%
2-28.1%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.956.41
Average total11.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.4%
Over 9.570.3%
Over 10.559.5%
Over 11.543.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away62.5%