Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 16:30
11.7554.2%
X3.4827.3%
25.1118.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DDWWWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Nantes
LWLLDLWWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.40
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Nantes conceded1.40
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.10goals per match
Marseille conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
24.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.10
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.2%39.2%-15.0 pp
Draw27.3%31.4%+4.1 pp
Away18.6%29.4%+10.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.330.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.6%
2-113.7%
1-113.7%
0-011.8%
2-011.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.693.51
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.539.2%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away55.0%