Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 19:45
14.3122.1%
X3.3928.1%
21.9149.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
LDWDDLDWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lyon
DLWLWWDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.50
Against
4.10
10.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.30goals per match
Lyon conceded1.60
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.80goals per match
Metz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.10
10.40
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.60
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%30.0%+7.9 pp
Draw28.1%30.0%+1.9 pp
Away49.8%40.0%-9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.510.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

1.000.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
0-120.0%
1-120.0%
2-310.0%
1-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.706.30
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away52.6%