Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 18:00
11.9648.4%
X3.6326.2%
23.7425.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
DLWDWWWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Brest
DLWLLLLWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.60
Against
6.30
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.90goals per match
Brest conceded1.90
Matchup

Brest attack

1.00goals per match
Nice conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.30
10.90
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.10
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.90
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.4%43.5%-4.9 pp
Draw26.2%30.6%+4.5 pp
Away25.4%25.8%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.631.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-012.9%
0-19.7%
2-29.7%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.904.11
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals23.1%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away53.8%