Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 20:00
12.2142.9%
X3.2329.4%
23.4327.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWDWDWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Marseille
WDLLWWDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.20
Against
4.00
9.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.40goals per match
Marseille conceded1.10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.30goals per match
Lille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.00
9.30
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.00
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
27.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.30
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%43.8%+0.8 pp
Draw29.4%35.4%+6.0 pp
Away27.7%20.8%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.519.8%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.260.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-013.5%
1-012.5%
0-112.5%
2-110.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.13
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%29.1%–57.8% CI
Away FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.5%