Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 16:00
12.7734.2%
X3.2029.6%
22.6236.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
DDWWLDWDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
St Etienne
LLWWWLLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.80
Against
4.90
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.60goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.80
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.00goals per match
Brest conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.90
10.20
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.90
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.10
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%26.1%-8.1 pp
Draw29.6%27.9%-1.7 pp
Away36.2%45.9%+9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.141.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-115.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.2%
1-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.475.03
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%11.1%–36.3% CI
Draw FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT50.0%34.8%–65.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.5%
Away68.4%