Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
11.7155.6%
X3.6126.4%
25.2818.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
DLLDWWLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Strasbourg
LLLLWLWLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.60
Against
4.10
10.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
1.40
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

0.80goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.30
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

0.90goals per match
Lyon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.10
10.40
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
22.20
Match total
22.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.50
On target
4.00
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.6%52.1%-3.5 pp
Draw26.4%29.2%+2.8 pp
Away18.0%18.8%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.350.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.8%
2-112.5%
1-112.5%
0-010.4%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.153.92
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away27.8%