Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 16:30
18.3111.4%
X5.6816.7%
21.3271.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Amiens
DLWWLDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Paris SG
WWWLWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.40
1.60
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.50
Against
3.30
8.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.40
1.60
Goals conceded
0.70
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Amiens attack

1.10goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.70
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.40goals per match
Amiens conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.30
8.30
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
27.90
Match total
23.90

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
18.70N=10
2.50
On target
7.80
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.4%23.5%+12.1 pp
Draw16.7%17.6%+0.9 pp
Away71.9%58.8%-13.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.547.1%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.002.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-423.5%
1-111.8%
1-211.8%
3-111.8%
0-211.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.066.41
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away72.7%