Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 19:45
11.7753.6%
X3.6426.1%
24.6820.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
LWWWWWWLLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Montpellier
LDLLDDDLWL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
4.10
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.50goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.60
Matchup

Montpellier attack

0.80goals per match
Monaco conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
22.20
Match total
30.90

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.20
On target
2.80
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%58.5%+4.9 pp
Draw26.1%30.2%+4.1 pp
Away20.3%11.3%-9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.570.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.0%
1-115.1%
1-013.2%
2-013.2%
0-011.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.474.06
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.6%
Over 9.562.3%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.537.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%