Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 14:00
12.1544.1%
X3.1729.9%
23.6625.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
WWWDWWLWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
St Etienne
LLLWWWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
4.90
8.30
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

2.10goals per match
St Etienne conceded2.00
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.00goals per match
Montpellier conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.90
8.30
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
30.20
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.70
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%33.7%-10.4 pp
Draw29.9%40.4%+10.5 pp
Away25.9%25.8%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.160.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
0-015.7%
0-110.1%
1-09.0%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.18
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Draw FT51.3%36.2%–66.1% CI
Away FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away41.0%