Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 19:00
11.5561.2%
X4.1323.0%
25.9815.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rennes
LDLWWWWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Brest
LDLWLLLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.40
Against
6.50
9.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.60goals per match
Brest conceded2.20
Matchup

Brest attack

1.00goals per match
Rennes conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.50
9.40
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.90
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
28.90
Match total
24.00

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.00
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.2%51.7%-9.5 pp
Draw23.0%24.1%+1.2 pp
Away15.9%24.1%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.931.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.8%
1-113.8%
0-06.9%
0-26.9%
4-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.974.52
Average total11.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.8%
Over 9.565.5%
Over 10.562.1%
Over 11.551.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.1%