Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 19:00
12.6036.5%
X3.1330.4%
22.8733.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dijon
LDDWWWDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Nantes
WLWLLDLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.50
0.90
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.30goals per match
Nantes conceded1.20
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Dijon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
10.40
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.80
Match total
26.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%35.9%-0.6 pp
Draw30.4%43.6%+13.2 pp
Away33.1%20.5%-12.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.271.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.1%
1-012.8%
2-210.3%
0-09.0%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.924.74
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Draw FT53.6%35.8%–70.5% CI
Away FT7.1%2.0%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.9%
Away42.9%