Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 16:30
11.3272.0%
X5.2118.2%
29.759.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WDDWWWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Toulouse
DLDLLLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
6.60
10.30
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.40
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.30
Matchup

Toulouse attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.60
10.30
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
25.50
Match total
27.00

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.00
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.0%69.2%-2.8 pp
Draw18.2%23.1%+4.8 pp
Away9.7%7.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.150.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-030.8%
0-07.7%
4-17.7%
3-37.7%
4-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.542.62
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away30.0%