Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-07 · 19:45
12.8932.9%
X3.0331.4%
22.6635.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
WWDLWWLDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lille
LDDLLLWLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.50
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Angers attack

1.10goals per match
Lille conceded1.70
Matchup

Lille attack

0.80goals per match
Angers conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.70
Match total
4.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
25.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%47.4%+14.5 pp
Draw31.4%34.2%+2.8 pp
Away35.7%18.4%-17.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.510.5%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.290.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
2-018.4%
0-013.2%
1-010.5%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.664.97
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away42.9%