Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 20:00
12.9931.7%
X3.2229.4%
22.4438.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
DLWDWDWLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Marseille
WWDLLWWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.60
Against
3.80
8.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.20goals per match
Marseille conceded1.20
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.30goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.80
8.70
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
27.50
Match total
24.80

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.50
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%38.8%+7.1 pp
Draw29.4%28.6%-0.9 pp
Away38.9%32.7%-6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS38.8%

Historical average

1.161.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-012.2%
0-010.2%
2-18.2%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.165.51
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals18.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away31.3%