Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 18:00
12.3141.0%
X3.2229.4%
23.2129.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nimes
WWLDDLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Dijon
LLWDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nimes attack
1.10goals per matchDijon conceded1.30Matchup
Dijon attack
0.50goals per matchNimes conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.30
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
30.90
Match total
24.90
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%43.8%+2.8 pp
Draw29.4%33.7%+4.3 pp
Away29.5%22.5%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
1.33–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.9%
0-013.5%
1-012.4%
0-111.2%
2-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–4.82
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT45.7%30.5%–61.8% CI
Away FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.7%
2+ goals25.7%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.7%
Away37.1%