Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 18:00
12.3141.0%
X3.2229.4%
23.2129.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nimes
WWLDDLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Dijon
LLWDLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.70
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nimes attack

1.10goals per match
Dijon conceded1.30
Matchup

Dijon attack

0.50goals per match
Nimes conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.70
9.90
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.30
Match total
2.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
30.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.0%43.8%+2.8 pp
Draw29.4%33.7%+4.3 pp
Away29.5%22.5%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.330.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-013.5%
1-012.4%
0-111.2%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.82
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%16.3%–45.1% CI
Draw FT45.7%30.5%–61.8% CI
Away FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.7%
2+ goals25.7%
3+ goals8.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away37.1%