Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 18:00
11.7354.8%
X3.3328.5%
25.6816.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
WWWWDWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Metz
LLWLLDDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
0.60
70%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.40
7.90
Total
9.00
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

2.10goals per match
Metz conceded1.60
Matchup

Metz attack

0.60goals per match
Montpellier conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.40
7.90
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
29.80
Match total
25.20

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.50
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.8%34.8%-20.0 pp
Draw28.5%34.8%+6.3 pp
Away16.7%30.4%+13.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.552.2%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.513.0%
BTTS39.1%

Historical average

0.910.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.4%
0-017.4%
1-117.4%
0-113.0%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.393.09
Average total8.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.2%
Over 9.534.8%
Over 10.526.1%
Over 11.513.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals10.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away40.0%