Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 18:00
11.3271.7%
X5.1318.5%
29.659.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
WDLLDWWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Amiens
LWDDDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
2.00
Total goals
3.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.40goals per match
Amiens conceded2.30
Matchup

Amiens attack

1.10goals per match
Lyon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.10
Match total
26.20

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%75.0%+3.3 pp
Draw18.5%20.0%+1.5 pp
Away9.8%5.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

2.400.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
4-115.0%
2-210.0%
2-110.0%
3-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.602.70
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away30.0%