Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-05 · 18:00
11.3271.7%
X5.1318.5%
29.659.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lyon
WDLLDWWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Amiens
LWDDDLLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
2.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
2.00
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lyon attack
1.40goals per matchAmiens conceded2.30Matchup
Amiens attack
1.10goals per matchLyon conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.10
Match total
26.20
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%75.0%+3.3 pp
Draw18.5%20.0%+1.5 pp
Away9.8%5.0%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
2.40–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
4-115.0%
2-210.0%
2-110.0%
3-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.60–2.70
Average total10.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away30.0%