Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-04 · 20:05
18.8610.7%
X5.3617.7%
21.3371.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
WWWWLLWWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Paris SG
WWWWLWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.40
0.80
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
2.90
Against
3.30
8.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.40
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
1.80
Total goals
3.00
30%3/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.60
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.40goals per match
Nantes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.30
8.20
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
25.20
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
17.80N=10
4.30
On target
7.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.7%9.1%-1.6 pp
Draw17.7%27.3%+9.5 pp
Away71.5%63.6%-7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

0.641.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-127.3%
0-118.2%
0-29.1%
0-49.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.826.55
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.6%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.518.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away84.6%