Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-04 · 18:00
11.9947.8%
X3.4627.5%
23.8424.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monaco
DLWWWWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Angers
LLWLDDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.00
2.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
3.70
10.20
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.80
4.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monaco attack
2.60goals per matchAngers conceded1.80Matchup
Angers attack
0.70goals per matchMonaco conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.70
10.20
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.20
Match total
24.20
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.50
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.8%40.9%-6.9 pp
Draw27.5%28.4%+0.9 pp
Away24.8%30.7%+5.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.35–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
1-013.6%
2-112.5%
0-111.4%
2-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.81–4.81
Average total10.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.4%
Over 9.564.8%
Over 10.551.1%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away64.0%