Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-04 · 18:00
12.0646.2%
X3.3128.7%
23.7925.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WWWDWDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Rennes
WDLDLLWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.60goals per matchRennes conceded0.80Matchup
Rennes attack
1.00goals per matchLille conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
9.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.10
Match total
30.10
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%45.2%-1.0 pp
Draw28.7%32.3%+3.5 pp
Away25.1%22.6%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS46.8%
Historical average
1.23–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.4%
1-016.1%
0-011.3%
0-19.7%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.24–4.11
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals4.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away36.4%