Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-04 · 18:00
12.0646.2%
X3.3128.7%
23.7925.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWWDWDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Rennes
WDLDLLWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.50
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.30
Against
4.90
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.60goals per match
Rennes conceded0.80
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.90
9.20
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.10
Match total
30.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%45.2%-1.0 pp
Draw28.7%32.3%+3.5 pp
Away25.1%22.6%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

1.230.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
1-016.1%
0-011.3%
0-19.7%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.244.11
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals4.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away36.4%