Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 16:00
12.6336.1%
X2.9632.1%
22.9831.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WLLDWDDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
St Etienne
WLLLWWWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.20goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.80
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.10goals per match
Metz conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.80
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.80
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%31.3%-4.8 pp
Draw32.1%39.6%+7.5 pp
Away31.8%29.2%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.101.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.9%
1-014.6%
1-212.5%
2-18.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.23
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.2%
Over 9.539.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%