Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 14:00
13.4127.8%
X3.5227.0%
22.1045.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LWDLWDWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Lyon
LDDLWLWWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.50
Against
4.30
10.30
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.90goals per match
Lyon conceded1.30
Matchup

Lyon attack

1.70goals per match
Nice conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.30
10.30
Match total
7.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.80
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%28.0%+0.2 pp
Draw27.0%32.0%+5.0 pp
Away45.2%40.0%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

1.321.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.0%
2-212.0%
1-112.0%
2-08.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.365.48
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away60.0%