Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-01-31 · 19:45
12.0147.4%
X3.1230.5%
24.3022.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rennes
WLDLWWWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Nantes
LWLWLLDLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rennes attack

1.50goals per match
Nantes conceded1.10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Rennes conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
11.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.30
Match total
26.90

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%52.1%+4.7 pp
Draw30.5%33.3%+2.8 pp
Away22.1%14.6%-7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.540.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-016.7%
2-112.5%
1-012.5%
1-110.4%
3-110.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.563.98
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.0%