Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 19:00
11.6457.9%
X3.7825.1%
25.6216.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LWWWWDWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Dijon
LLLWDLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.30
Against
7.10
8.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.90goals per match
Dijon conceded1.20
Matchup

Dijon attack

0.40goals per match
Montpellier conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.10
8.30
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.80
Match total
2.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
30.60
Match total
23.40

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.50
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%45.5%-12.5 pp
Draw25.1%40.9%+15.8 pp
Away16.9%13.6%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.771.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.7%
2-013.6%
2-213.6%
2-19.1%
3-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.503.73
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away41.7%