Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-01-25 · 19:00
11.6457.9%
X3.7825.1%
25.6216.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
LWWWWDWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Dijon
LLLWDLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.40
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.30
Against
7.10
8.30
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.90goals per matchDijon conceded1.20Matchup
Dijon attack
0.40goals per matchMontpellier conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.10
8.30
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.80
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
30.60
Match total
23.40
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.50
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%45.5%-12.5 pp
Draw25.1%40.9%+15.8 pp
Away16.9%13.6%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.77–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.7%
2-013.6%
2-213.6%
2-19.1%
3-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–3.73
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.522.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away41.7%