Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-31 · 17:30
14.3421.0%
X3.3427.3%
21.7751.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
DDDLWWLDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Malaga
WLLWWDDLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.50
Against
5.70
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.00goals per matchMalaga conceded1.40Matchup
Malaga attack
2.10goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.70
11.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.70
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
27.80
Match total
24.90
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
3.80
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%19.8%-1.2 pp
Draw27.3%26.7%-0.6 pp
Away51.6%53.4%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.514.7%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
0.83–1.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
0-212.9%
1-212.1%
0-110.3%
0-010.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.04–5.63
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI
Draw FT43.2%28.7%–59.1% CI
Away FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals18.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.9%
Away48.6%