Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-31 · 17:30
11.3866.2%
X4.6019.9%
26.5414.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
LWWWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Valladolid
WLLDDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.30
100%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
2.00
2.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
5.10
8.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
4.30
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

2.80goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.30
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.30goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.10
8.60
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
28.40
Match total
26.10

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
5.70
On target
3.20
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.2%69.6%+3.4 pp
Draw19.9%21.9%+2.0 pp
Away14.0%8.5%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

2.390.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.1%
1-09.3%
2-08.9%
0-08.5%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.743.51
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=269.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.558.4%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%38.1%–61.9% CI
Draw FT45.3%33.7%–57.4% CI
Away FT4.7%1.6%–12.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.9%
Away21.9%