Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 17:30
15.0318.1%
X3.7824.0%
21.5757.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Valladolid
DLLWWLWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
La Coruna
DWWLWWDDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.10
Against
4.80
8.30
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Valladolid attack
1.10goals per matchLa Coruna conceded1.00Matchup
La Coruna attack
1.30goals per matchValladolid conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.80
8.30
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
27.40
Match total
23.40
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.50
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%13.8%-4.3 pp
Draw24.0%18.3%-5.7 pp
Away57.9%67.9%+10.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
0.82–1.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-214.7%
0-112.8%
1-212.8%
0-310.1%
1-310.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.75–5.83
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=109.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.523.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.4%2.1%–23.4% CI
Draw FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Away FT55.6%37.3%–72.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away70.4%