Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 17:30
11.6056.9%
X4.2121.6%
24.2421.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WWWWDWDWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Santander
WLLWWLLWDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
4.60
8.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

2.20goals per match
Santander conceded1.50
Matchup

Santander attack

1.40goals per match
Malaga conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.60
8.70
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
6.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.10
Match total
29.00

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
7.20
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%51.9%-5.1 pp
Draw21.6%25.9%+4.3 pp
Away21.5%22.2%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.741.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-211.1%
3-011.1%
1-111.1%
0-011.1%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.964.33
Average total11.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.548.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%