Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 20:15
11.8250.1%
X3.4926.1%
23.8323.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
LDDDLWWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sp Gijon
LWLDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.60
Against
6.40
10.40
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.00goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.80Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.10goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.40
10.40
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
28.70
Match total
20.50
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches917
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%49.1%-1.0 pp
Draw26.1%27.3%+1.1 pp
Away23.8%23.7%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.59–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.5%
1-011.3%
2-18.9%
0-08.3%
2-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.90–4.24
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=917.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches271
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.5%33.8%–45.4% CI
Draw FT40.6%34.9%–46.5% CI
Away FT19.9%15.6%–25.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals14.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.6%
Away40.2%