Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 17:30
11.4165.0%
X4.5520.1%
26.1514.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
DLWWWWLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Valladolid
LWLLDDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.00
2.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.40
Against
4.90
11.50
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
4.10
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Santander attack

2.50goals per match
Valladolid conceded2.20
Matchup

Valladolid attack

1.20goals per match
Santander conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.90
11.50
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
24.90
Match total
27.20

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
7.80
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches233
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.0%63.5%-1.5 pp
Draw20.1%24.0%+3.9 pp
Away14.9%12.4%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.540.8%
BTTS56.2%

Historical average

2.200.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.3%
1-09.9%
1-19.4%
3-18.6%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.663.50
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=233.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI
Draw FT48.2%35.7%–61.0% CI
Away FT10.7%5.0%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away33.9%