Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 17:30
12.8332.3%
X2.9331.2%
22.5036.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Granada
DDDWWLDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Burgos
LLDLWDWWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.90
0.70
2H goals
0.80
50%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
7.90
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Granada attack
1.50goals per matchBurgos conceded1.10Matchup
Burgos attack
0.60goals per matchGranada conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.70
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
27.00
Match total
27.60
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.80
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%30.2%-2.1 pp
Draw31.2%34.7%+3.5 pp
Away36.5%35.0%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS42.8%
Historical average
0.94–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-016.1%
1-113.8%
1-011.6%
1-29.6%
0-19.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.41–4.43
Average total8.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.5%
Over 9.539.9%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.520.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%24.4%–39.8% CI
Draw FT45.6%37.5%–54.0% CI
Away FT22.8%16.5%–30.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.2%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away34.6%