Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 17:30
11.9945.9%
X3.4026.9%
23.3627.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WLWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Las Palmas
WLDDWLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
3.00
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.00
100%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
3.60
8.80
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
4.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
3.00goals per matchLas Palmas conceded2.00Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.30goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.60
8.80
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
28.10
Match total
26.20
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.90
On target
4.50
19%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%43.3%-2.6 pp
Draw26.9%30.3%+3.4 pp
Away27.2%26.3%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS56.9%
Historical average
1.56–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-010.2%
2-18.5%
2-28.2%
0-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–4.51
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%27.6%–45.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%31.1%–49.6% CI
Away FT23.8%16.7%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.2%
Away44.8%