Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 17:30
11.9945.9%
X3.4026.9%
23.3627.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
WLWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Las Palmas
WLDDWLLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
2.00
100%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
3.60
8.80
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
4.50
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

3.00goals per match
Las Palmas conceded2.00
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.30goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.60
8.80
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.50
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
28.10
Match total
26.20

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.90
On target
4.50
19%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%43.3%-2.6 pp
Draw26.9%30.3%+3.4 pp
Away27.2%26.3%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.561.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-010.2%
2-18.5%
2-28.2%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.51
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%27.6%–45.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%31.1%–49.6% CI
Away FT23.8%16.7%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away44.8%