Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 15:15
13.5625.6%
X3.5925.4%
21.8649.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ceuta
WLWWWLWDDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Malaga
WWLLWWDDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
5.70
9.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.40goals per match
Malaga conceded1.40
Matchup

Malaga attack

2.00goals per match
Ceuta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.70
9.50
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
31.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.40
On target
4.90
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%24.3%-1.3 pp
Draw25.4%21.6%-3.8 pp
Away49.0%54.1%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.191.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.1%
1-19.9%
0-28.0%
0-17.2%
1-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.325.49
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%14.5%–30.2% CI
Draw FT35.9%27.3%–45.5% CI
Away FT42.7%33.6%–52.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.6%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals23.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away65.0%