Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 20:00
11.5259.9%
X3.9722.9%
25.3117.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
WWWWWDWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sp Gijon
WLWLDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.30
Against
6.10
8.00
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
2.20goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.60Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.10goals per matchMalaga conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.10
8.00
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.70
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
26.40
Match total
20.60
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
7.20
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches455
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%61.8%+1.8 pp
Draw22.9%21.8%-1.2 pp
Away17.1%16.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
2.00–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.6%
1-111.2%
1-09.7%
2-19.5%
3-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.51–3.67
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=455.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%40.8%–59.2% CI
Draw FT33.6%25.5%–42.9% CI
Away FT16.4%10.6%–24.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.5%
2+ goals48.2%
3+ goals23.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.8%
Away45.5%