Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 20:00
11.5259.9%
X3.9722.9%
25.3117.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WWWWWDWDWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sp Gijon
WLWLDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.30
Against
6.10
8.00
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

2.20goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded1.60
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.10goals per match
Malaga conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.10
8.00
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.70
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
26.40
Match total
20.60

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
7.20
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches455
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%61.8%+1.8 pp
Draw22.9%21.8%-1.2 pp
Away17.1%16.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

2.000.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.6%
1-111.2%
1-09.7%
2-19.5%
3-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.67
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=455.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%40.8%–59.2% CI
Draw FT33.6%25.5%–42.9% CI
Away FT16.4%10.6%–24.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.5%
2+ goals48.2%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.8%
Away45.5%