Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 19:30
11.4363.8%
X4.4420.6%
25.8415.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
LWLWWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Mirandes
DLLLLWLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.80
100%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
2.40
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
8.10
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
4.20
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

2.70goals per match
Mirandes conceded1.80
Matchup

Mirandes attack

0.90goals per match
Almeria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
8.10
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.70
Match total
6.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
29.60
Match total
29.70

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.00
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.8%60.7%-3.1 pp
Draw20.6%23.7%+3.1 pp
Away15.6%15.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.0%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

2.241.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.6%
1-19.6%
2-18.9%
3-17.4%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.593.45
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Draw FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI
Away FT16.7%6.7%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away37.5%