Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 17:30
12.7633.0%
X3.1029.4%
22.4337.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sociedad B
LLDDWLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Burgos
WLLDLWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sociedad B attack

1.10goals per match
Burgos conceded1.20
Matchup

Burgos attack

0.80goals per match
Sociedad B conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
7.00
Match total
5.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.70
Match total
28.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.40
On target
2.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches786
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%32.8%-0.2 pp
Draw29.4%29.3%-0.2 pp
Away37.5%37.9%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.181.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
0-112.5%
0-09.9%
2-18.9%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.774.74
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=786.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.4%23.3%–34.1% CI
Draw FT43.6%37.7%–49.6% CI
Away FT28.0%23.0%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away48.5%