Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 17:30
12.7633.0%
X3.1029.4%
22.4337.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sociedad B
LLDDWLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Burgos
WLLDLWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sociedad B attack
1.10goals per matchBurgos conceded1.20Matchup
Burgos attack
0.80goals per matchSociedad B conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
7.00
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.70
Match total
28.30
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.40
On target
2.30
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches786
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%32.8%-0.2 pp
Draw29.4%29.3%-0.2 pp
Away37.5%37.9%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
1.18–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
0-112.5%
0-09.9%
2-18.9%
1-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.77–4.74
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=786.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.4%23.3%–34.1% CI
Draw FT43.6%37.7%–49.6% CI
Away FT28.0%23.0%–33.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.8%
Away48.5%