Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 15:15
11.6356.1%
X3.7424.4%
24.6819.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
WLWWDDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ceuta
WLLLWLLDLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.60
9.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
2.60
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.80goals per match
Ceuta conceded2.40
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.60
9.60
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
4.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.30
Match total
25.90

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.20
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches680
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.1%58.7%+2.6 pp
Draw24.4%24.3%-0.2 pp
Away19.5%17.1%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.850.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.2%
1-010.6%
1-110.1%
2-09.0%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.90
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=680.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.7%39.0%–52.7% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.7%–46.1% CI
Away FT15.1%10.8%–20.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals20.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away38.7%