Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 20:00
12.0345.0%
X3.1928.6%
23.4726.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Eibar
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Malaga
WWWLLWWDDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.90
0.50
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
6.10
8.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Eibar attack

2.00goals per match
Malaga conceded1.30
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.90goals per match
Eibar conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.10
8.30
Match total
10.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.10
Match total
23.90

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
5.00
On target
4.60
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches525
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%45.9%+0.9 pp
Draw28.6%27.6%-1.0 pp
Away26.3%26.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.431.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-012.0%
2-110.3%
0-09.5%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.37
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=525.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%29.8%–43.6% CI
Draw FT39.7%32.9%–46.9% CI
Away FT23.9%18.3%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.3%
Away42.9%