Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 20:00
12.0345.0%
X3.1928.6%
23.4726.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Eibar
WWWWWWDWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Malaga
WWWLLWWDDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.90
0.50
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
6.10
8.30
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Eibar attack
2.00goals per matchMalaga conceded1.30Matchup
Malaga attack
1.90goals per matchEibar conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.10
8.30
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.10
Match total
23.90
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
5.00
On target
4.60
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches525
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.0%45.9%+0.9 pp
Draw28.6%27.6%-1.0 pp
Away26.3%26.5%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.43–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-012.0%
2-110.3%
0-09.5%
2-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.39–4.37
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=525.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches184
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%29.8%–43.6% CI
Draw FT39.7%32.9%–46.9% CI
Away FT23.9%18.3%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.3%
Away42.9%