Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 20:00
13.2028.4%
X3.6025.2%
21.9646.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ceuta
WDWLWWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Santander
DDWLLWWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
5.20
9.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ceuta attack

1.50goals per match
Santander conceded1.60
Matchup

Santander attack

1.40goals per match
Ceuta conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.20
9.70
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
6.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
31.00
Match total
27.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%26.0%-2.4 pp
Draw25.2%29.8%+4.6 pp
Away46.4%44.2%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.3%
BTTS72.1%

Historical average

1.381.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
2-211.5%
1-29.6%
2-18.7%
1-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.91
Average total9.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals83.3%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away88.9%