Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 17:30
12.3538.6%
X2.8332.1%
23.1029.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burgos
LDWWWDWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
La Coruna
WLDWWLWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.50
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.30
Against
4.80
9.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
1.90
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burgos attack

1.40goals per match
La Coruna conceded1.00
Matchup

La Coruna attack

1.30goals per match
Burgos conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.80
9.20
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
25.60
Match total
21.70

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%41.6%+2.9 pp
Draw32.1%30.9%-1.2 pp
Away29.3%27.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.210.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
1-113.8%
0-010.7%
2-110.1%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.083.96
Average total9.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.540.7%
Over 10.530.4%
Over 11.521.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%27.6%–41.8% CI
Draw FT44.4%37.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT21.3%15.8%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away45.6%