Segunda Division · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 20:00
11.8350.1%
X3.6725.0%
23.6725.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
DLWLWWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Malaga
DWWWLLWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
6.50
8.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
3.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

2.40goals per match
Malaga conceded1.10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.80goals per match
Almeria conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.50
8.70
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
28.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
6.00
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.1%52.1%+2.0 pp
Draw25.0%27.3%+2.4 pp
Away25.0%20.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS61.7%

Historical average

1.781.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
2-19.6%
2-09.1%
1-08.6%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.024.31
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%30.7%–48.5% CI
Draw FT39.3%30.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT21.4%14.8%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.9%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.5%
Away50.0%